Stream: australia
Topic: Covid-19
Grahame Grieve (Mar 18 2020 at 08:57):
Are you watching the whole Coronavirus thing wishing there was something you can do? Are you a programmer who can write DotNet programs?
Well, now, there’s something you can do. I’m looking for a few highly motivated programmers who can give a good portion of their time for the next couple of weeks and help me write a dotnet application that allows GPs to do something about their crowded waiting rooms - an obvious and problematic source of cross-infection.
If you’re interested - send me an email at grahameg@gmail.com.
Note: this is not particularly (or even at all) a FHIR application. But it is for Australia
Brett Esler (Mar 19 2020 at 04:05):
https://github.com/grahamegrieve/ClinicArrivals/wiki - seems all we really need is the appointments list for the day then do SMS triggers based on changes to status
Grahame Grieve (Mar 19 2020 at 05:00):
follow ups on #clinic-arrivals
Grahame Grieve (Mar 30 2020 at 00:06):
Does anyone know what to make of this:
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/australia/:
https://www.covid19data.com.au/:
Richard Townley-O'Neill (Mar 30 2020 at 00:08):
seems to agree with the idea that the growth rate has dropped fr25% per day to 13% per day.
Grahame Grieve (Mar 30 2020 at 00:09):
they very different
Shovan Roy (Mar 30 2020 at 00:13):
I can see an API: https://corona.lmao.ninja/countries?sort=country and https://corona.lmao.ninja/countries/AUSTRALIA
https://corona.lmao.ninja/v2/historical/AUSTRALIA
Lloyd McKenzie (Mar 30 2020 at 00:15):
It's possible the difference is with time of day over which the numbers are bounded. worldometers uses boundaries of UTC. covid19data.com.au presumably uses an Australia-centric timezone.
Lloyd McKenzie (Mar 30 2020 at 00:17):
Both are showing roughly the same story - a leveling of the rate of increase - which is good...
Richard Townley-O'Neill (Mar 30 2020 at 00:39):
I think that only NSW and Vic have yet reported for the latest day. See https://infogram.com/1pqmx1jnwn2m1ruq7eqpwrqjx2f61r9n2q
Grahame Grieve (Mar 30 2020 at 00:41):
general comment on the numbers I just posted to facebook:
Grahame Grieve (Mar 30 2020 at 00:42):
I heard Scott Morrison this weekend noting that we've 'bent the curve' - that our daily increase has fallen from 25-30% to 12-15%- well done Australia,
Well, that might be. And it would be great if it is. Awesome.
But it might not be. Consider: the way the virus works, it takes 10-14 days for any change in behaviour around contagion (e.g. lockdowns Wuhan/European style) to become apparent in the data (consult any of the tracking sites if you're not clear on this).
So whatever bent the curve this week happened 2 weeks ago. And the government has been clear, to this point, that most of our infections have been overseas driven. And what happened 2 weeks ago? clamping down in incoming cases from USA.
In the mean time, the virus is out in the wild in Australia, and gradually spreading. The exponential curve is coming for us. Any drop in infection rates due to clamping down on overseas arrivals is transient, and not because we're doing well - we'll be back to 25-30% very soon.
That's why the government wound up the pressure on social isolation last night, even while the numbers look like they're getting better.
So, all my Australian friends: expect the numbers to go bad again, and when it happens, know that it isn't because social distancing doesn't work: it does work, but it's very hard work. Unfortunately, we have no choice. There's no quick fix for what ails us right now - no pill to swallow.
Tim Blake (Mar 30 2020 at 01:23):
Add to this that we're effectively not testing for community transmission under the current test policy (with a few exceptions), then these numbers, by definition, only give us part of the picture from 2 weeks ago.
Peter Jordan (Mar 30 2020 at 01:53):
NZ government is saying that we won't know the impact of the level 4 lockdown until April 6 - 12 days in. The reported infection rate is falling, but no nonsense about 'bending the curve'. Like Australia, the criteria to obtain a test is still too high to provide reliable infection numbers. However, we do have clear and decisive leadership. The country I really fear for at the moment is the USA.
Lloyd McKenzie (Mar 30 2020 at 02:06):
The U.S. will eventually get its act together - though many thousands of people who could have been saved will die. The real disaster is going to be in places like India, South-East Asia, Africa and other locations where there's negligible public health infrastructure and the notion of "everybody stay home" simply isn't workable because there's no relief money to send and no means to ensure people get food. We're not really seeing the number there yet, in part, because they don't have the infrastructure to test. But I expect those locations are going to do the short-term spike thing where 2/3 of the population will be infected in the first several months, and few of those who need hospitalization will get it.
Last updated: Apr 12 2022 at 19:14 UTC
